One data firm thinks Trump might end up with a ‘red mirage’ on Election Day

[Andy Meek]

• Election Day 2020 is going to be like nothing most of us have seen in our lifetimes -- possibly because of a phenomenon that some data scientists are referring to as a "red mirage."
• One predictive model shows President Trump handily winning re-election on November 3, thanks to GOP voters who show up in person to vote in spite of the coronavirus pandemic.
• But that win on Election Day 2020 could actually end up being a "red mirage," thanks to the surge in mail-in voting this year as a result of Democratic voters who don't want to vote in-person because of the coronavirus and opt for mail-in ballots instead, which will likely take several days to tabulate after Election Day.

Back in July, I took a stab at sorting through some possible 'October surprise' and late-season Election Day 2020 scenarios that we might be in store for and which could sway the outcome of the contest between President Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. It's admittedly a near-impossible task this time around, given the unprecedented nature of everything this election falls in the shadow of -- everything from the coronavirus pandemic to issues around racial justice and police brutality to a supremely bad economy. This year's "Comey letter" could be anything from news about a successful COVID-19 vaccine to the coronavirus numbers getting either a lot worse or a lot better, to White House health advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci resigning, a new Supreme Court vacancy, more civil unrest in cities around the country and so much more.

Meanwhile, some data scientists are starting to talk about what could amount to a nightmare scenario on Election Day this year -- something they're calling a "red mirage."

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One data firm thinks Trump might end up with a ‘red mirage’ on Election Day originally appeared on BGR.com on Wed, 2 Sep 2020 at 10:02:11 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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